Ґлобальна криза і цикли економічного розвитку

Тип матеріалу: Стаття
Мова публікації: українська
Випуск: 2010 №2
Сторінки: 88-96
Журнальна рубрикація: Соціальна філософія
Nikolai Kondratiev, a Russian economist, who had studied a huge amount of empirical material, came to a conclusion that the existence of large cycles in dynamic economic processes does not mean a disaster. N. Kondratiev identified approximate time limits for each of cycles and patterns, described two types of "long waves" — the raising and fall-down ones. Hence, he was able to predict the years of Great Depression of 1929— 1933 and its main features. The fall-down waves embrace the periods of extensive development of resources of the world periphery by the centers of industrial society; the priority of financial opera­tions over the investments is established, the labor becomes cheaper. The fall-down waves are characterized by slow progress and development of communications tech­nologies. A rapid technological progress and the increase of social value of knowledge, as well as the appearance of new centers of high-tech industry are characteristic of the raising wave period. The globalization of recent decades has coincided in time with a fall-down mo­ment when cheap labor power is one of the main principles of the doctrine. This ulti­mately leads to serious negative social and anthropological consequences and dysfunc­tional changes, in education and socialization processes of individuals in particular. New Kondratiev’s wave, being a result of the global crisis, requires the replace­ment of the doctrine of cheap labor power by high-qualification and well-paid work, introduction of new technologies, transformation of the relationship between the glob­al centers and peripheries.
Постійна адреса матеріалу
Як цитувати
Грабовський Сергій (2010). Ґлобальна криза і цикли економічного розвитку . Філософська думка, №2. с. 88-96.